How would you estimate the market size of food delivery apps in India?
Model answer
This is a market sizing (Fermi estimation) question. Use a top-down or bottom-up approach — show your method clearly. Bottom-up: India population ~1.45B. Urban population ~35% = ~500M. Smartphone users in urban India ~350M. App users likely to order online (upper-middle class + young professionals) ~15-20% = ~60-70M active food delivery users. Average order frequency: 4-6 orders/month. Average order value: ₹250-350. Monthly market size: 65M × 5 orders × ₹300 = ₹97,500Cr annually. Adjust for seasonality (10-15% uplift in winters, IPL, Diwali). Cross-check top-down: Zomato + Swiggy combined GMV ~₹60,000-70,000Cr in FY24 — our estimate is in the right range. State assumptions explicitly at each step and invite the interviewer to challenge them.